hypothesis-tree

仓库创建 2026年7月28日最近提交 1 天前SkillHot 收录 1 天前

▸ 精选理由

有助于把分析转为可执行检验并生成优先验证项。

这个 Skill 做什么

构建可检验的假设树以系统化分解问题并设计验证路径。

把复杂问题拆成一棵可检验的假设树，每个分支都是可以设计实验或证据来验证的假设，并明确什么证据会否定它。适合在需要快速排查原因、优先做验证而不是泛泛描述时使用。核心是要同时考虑如何反驳假设（disconfirmation），而不仅仅搜集支持证据。

▸ 展开 SKILL.md 英文原文

Use when analysis should proceed by testing likely explanations rather than describing the whole situation. Use when applying the Hypothesis Tree consulting method and when a user asks for Hypothesis Tree, method execution, structured diagnosis, or action planning.

Skill 开发管理假设驱动可检验结构化分析通用

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帮我安装这个 skill：https://raw.githubusercontent.com/fzfclee/consulting-skills/main/skills/hypothesis-tree/SKILL.md

或 curl 直取 SKILL.md

curl -fsSL "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/fzfclee/consulting-skills/main/skills/hypothesis-tree/SKILL.md"

SKILL.MD 节选查看完整文件 ↗

# Hypothesis Tree

Use this skill to run `Hypothesis Tree` as a practical consulting method, not as a generic framework explanation.

## Method Notes

- Each branch must be testable.
- Define disconfirmation evidence, not only supporting evidence.

## Required Inputs

Collect or infer these inputs before execution:

- core question
- candidate explanations
- available evidence
- decision deadline

If an input is missing, do not block automatically. Mark it as `missing`, state the assumption used, and add a validation action.

## When Not To Use

Do not use to decorate an answer. Use it when the problem is too messy to analyze directly.

## Adjacent Methods

- `issue-tree`: decompose the ques

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