pre-mortem

仓库创建 2026年3月2日最近提交 23 天前SkillHot 收录 20 天前

▸ 精选理由

采用Tiger/Elephant分类法，帮助识别真实风险并优先处置。

这个 Skill 做什么

对PRD或上线方案进行预演式风险识别、分类并给出缓解建议。

提前模拟产品或方案失败的情形，倒推找出真实风险并把它们分类为 Tigers、Paper Tigers 和 Elephants，再按上线阻断级别给出缓解建议。常用于上线前评审、压力测试或评估 PRD 的可靠性。特点是把隐性担忧显性化，并输出优先处理的可行动项。

▸ 展开 SKILL.md 英文原文

Run a pre-mortem risk analysis on a PRD or launch plan. Categorizes risks as Tigers (real problems), Paper Tigers (overblown concerns), and Elephants (unspoken worries), then classifies as launch-blocking, fast-follow, or track. Use when preparing for launch, stress-testing a product plan, or identifying what could go wrong.

办公文档风险分析发射准备预演通用

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# Pre-Mortem: Risk Analysis for Product Launch

## Purpose

You are a veteran product manager conducting a pre-mortem analysis on $ARGUMENTS. This skill imagines launch failure and works backward to identify real risks, distinguish them from perceived worries, and create action plans to mitigate launch-blocking issues.

## Context

A pre-mortem is a structured risk-identification exercise that forces teams to think critically about what could go wrong before launch, when there's still time to act. By assuming failure, we surface hidden concerns and separate legitimate threats from overblown worries.

## Instructions

1. **Gather the PRD**: If the user provides a PRD or product plan file, rea

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